In a game that will decide the fate of Group A, India will take on Australia in their last group stage fixture at the 2024 Women’s T20 World Cup. Harmanpreet Kaur and Co sit second in the points table with two wins from three games and need a win to confirm their semifinal spot. Also in contention are New Zealand and Pakistan. Here are the different scenarios that can play out depending on result on Sunday:

• The first task at hand for India is to beat Australia, and that in itself is a challenge. Australia are unbeaten so far, with a healthy NRR of +2.786. If India beat Australia, and New Zealand lose against Pakistan, Harmanpreet Kaur and Co will qualify for semifinal without NRR coming into play.
• Given NZ play PAK on Monday, India can control their own destiny only if they beat Australia by a big margin. India can overtake Australia’s NRR if they score 180 and restrict Australia to 117, and if India score 160 and restrict Australia to 98. So roughly, a 60+ run margin is a must. If they are chasing 120, they’d to win in 10.1 overs.
• Let’s say India score 140 and win by 5 runs. Then NZ must not win by a margin bigger than 22 runs. If NZ score 140, then Pakistan must score at least 118. Anything less than that, the NZ will overtake India’s NRR.
• The lesser likely scenario is both India and NZ lose their matches, then Pakistan will also be on four points for a three-way tiebreak.